Science v. Fiction: Gen Z’s Skepticism of Disinformation Used to Justify Anti-Trans Legislation in the USA

Abstract

Introduction

US state legislatures introduced more than 500 anti-LGBTQ + bills in 2023, many of which specifically target trans youth. Anti-trans legislation is often supported by disinformation on topics such as gender-affirming healthcare. This study examined the extent to which Gen Z young adults believe such disinformation and the factors that predict belief.

Methods

Surveys were used in late 2022 and early 2023 to measure disinformation belief in a convenience sample of n = 103 undergraduate psychology students of different gender identities, SES, ethnicities, religious beliefs, and political views. Predictors included measures of conventionalism, such as social conservatism and religiosity, as well as transphobic attitudes, news consumption, and trust in government.

Results

Large majorities of participants doubted several pieces of disinformation, such as the pernicious “grooming” assertion; expressed uncertainty about some, such as the gender/sex distinction; and were split on others, such as the alleged athletic advantage of trans girls. Male, socially conservative, and religious individuals tended to exhibit stronger disinformation belief, as did those who expressed more trust in government. Regression analysis showed transphobic attitudes to strongly predict anti-trans disinformation belief, above and beyond demographic factors.

Conclusions

The results are consistent with prejudice-driven reasoning, stressing the need for prejudice reduction along with misinformation mitigation strategies like fact checking.

Policy Implications

The USA should reform media policy to counter the threat of disinformation and more widely adopt trans refuge policies that protect access to care and freedom from prosecution, and education policies that normalize gender diversity beginning in childhood.

Lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic to strengthen NCD care and policy in humanitarian settings: a mixed methods study exploring humanitarian actors’ experiences

Abstract

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic and response severely impacted people living with non-communicable diseases (PLWNCDs) globally. It exacerbated pre-existing health inequalities, severely disrupted access to care, and worsened clinical outcomes for PLWNCDs, who were at higher risk of morbidity and mortality from the virus. The pandemic’s effects were likely magnified in humanitarian settings, where there were pre-existing gaps in continuity of care for non-communicable diseases (NCDs). We sought to explore factors affecting implementation of NCD care in crisis settings during the COVID-19 pandemic and the adaptations made to support implementation.

Methods

Guided by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research, we undertook an online survey of 98 humanitarian actors from multiple regions and organization types (March-July 2021), followed by in-depth interviews with 13 purposively selected survey respondents (October-December 2021). Survey data were analysed using descriptive statistics, while interview data were analysed thematically, using both deductive and inductive approaches.

Results

Initially, humanitarian actors faced challenges influenced by external actors’ priorities, such as de-prioritisation of NCD care by governments, travel restrictions and supply chain interruptions. With each infection wave and lockdown, humanitarian actors were better able to adapt and maintain NCD services. The availability of COVID-19 vaccines was a positive turning point, especially for the risk management of people with NCDs and protection of health workers. Key findings include that, despite pre-existing challenges, humanitarian actors largely continued NCD services during the crisis. Enabling factors that supported continuity of NCD services included the ability to quickly pivot to remote means of communication with PLWNCDs, flexibility in medicine dispensing, and successful advocacy to prioritize NCD management within health systems. Key lessons learned included the importance of partnerships and cooperation with other health actors, and the mobilisation or repurposing of community health workers/volunteer networks.

Conclusions

The COVID-19 experience should prompt national and global health stakeholders to strengthen inclusion of NCDs in emergency preparedness, response, and resilience planning. Key lessons were learned around remote care provision, including adapting to NCD severity, integrating community health workers, providing context-adapted patient information, combating misinformation, and strengthening cross-sectoral partnerships.

Multidisciplinary assessment of a restored mangrove ecosystem in Guanabara Bay, Brazil: linking science and conservation

Abstract

Due to their coastal location, mangrove ecosystems are especially susceptible to various human-caused disturbances. These disturbances can result in a loss of original mangrove cover, a decline in biodiversity, and a degradation of their ecological functions. This study examines a restored mangrove area within the Barão de Mauá Natural Municipal Park (PNMBM) in Guanabara Bay, Brazil, two decades after the initiation of a restoration project. We used a multidisciplinary approach, combining remote sensing analyses, assessment of the vegetation structure, and genetic diversity analysis to evaluate this restored mangrove forest. Remote sensing data demonstrated high Normalized Difference Vegetation Index values following the restoration project’s completion, indicating the revegetation’s success. Exploring the structure of the new forest, we found Laguncularia racemosa to be the most abundant species, with a higher density and dominance for adults and seedlings. Conversely, Avicennia schaueriana was the least abundant in all areas, indicating a need for species enrichment. Planting age affected the forest structure, suggesting the capacity of this mangrove to achieve a natural maturity state. There was a genetic erosion in L. racemosa individuals, both adults and seedlings and low diversity was observed in A. schaueriana individuals. The PNMBM mangrove forest has shown remarkable resilience in maintaining its vegetation cover after restoration despite previous deforestation cycles. Moreover, as a young mangrove forest, it will continue to go through successional stages naturally. The loss of genetic diversity could be a concern for long-term survival, highlighting the need for genetic management. Integrating remote sensing, phytosociology, and genetic diversity analyses provided a comprehensive and detailed view of the park’s restoration outcome. These results should be used as guidelines for future interventions outlined in this work and can help ensure the resilience and sustainability of any restored mangrove.

Identifying environmental impacts on planktonic algal proliferation and associated risks: a five-year observation study in Danjiangkou Reservoir, China

Abstract

Understanding the risks of planktonic algal proliferation and its environmental causes is crucial for protecting water quality and controlling ecological risks. Reservoirs, due to the characteristics of slow flow rates and long hydraulic retention times, are more prone to eutrophication and algal proliferation. Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) serves as an indicator of planktonic algal biomass. Exploring the intricate interactions and driving mechanisms between Chl-a and the water environment, and the potential risks of algal blooms, is crucial for ensuring the ecological safety of reservoirs and the health of water users. This study focused on the Danjiangkou Reservoir (DJKR), the core water source of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project of China (MRSNWDPC). The multivariate statistical methods and structural equation modeling were used to explore the relationships between chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) contents and water quality factors and understand the driving mechanisms affecting Chl-a variations. The Copula function and Bayesian theory were combined to analyze the risk of changes in Chl-a concentrations at Taocha (TC) station, which is the core water source intake point of the MRSNWDPC. The results showed that the factors driving planktonic algal proliferation were spatially heterogeneous. The main factors affecting Chl-a concentrations in Dan Reservoir (DR) were water physicochemical factors (water temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH value, and turbidity) with a total contribution rate of 60.18%, whereas those in Han Reservoir (HR) were nutrient factors (total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and ammonia nitrogen) with a total contribution rate of 73.58%. In TC, the main factors were water physicochemical factors (turbidity, pH, and water temperature) and nutrient factors (total phosphorus) with total contribution rates of 39.76% and 45.78%, respectively. When Chl-a concentrations in other areas of the DJKR ranged from the minimum to the uppermost quartile, the probabilities that Chl-a concentrations at the TC station exceeded 3.4 μg/L (the benchmark value of Chl-a for lakes in the central-eastern lake area of China) owing to the influence of these areas were all less than 10%. Thus, the risk of planktonic algal proliferation at the MRSNWDPC intake point is low. This study developed an integrated framework to investigate spatiotemporal changes in algal proliferation and their driving factors in reservoirs, which can be used to support water quality management in mega hydro projects.

Climate-driven water stress and hydrological drought vulnerability in the dry zone basins in Sri Lanka: insights from climate modelling and Random Forest algorithm

Abstract

Drought, a consequence of prolonged precipitation deficiencies, is a significant hazard exacerbated by climate change. Highly susceptible to extreme climatic events, Sri Lanka faces drought as its most prominent hazard, necessitating comprehensive assessments. This study focuses on the escalating impact of hydrological drought intensified by climate change on the Maduru Oya and Kirindi Oya dry zone basins in Sri Lanka, crucial due to their vulnerability to altered hydroclimatic dynamics. Monitoring hydrological droughts in these regions is paramount for ensuring a reliable water supply for irrigation and other purposes. The research utilizes the Streamflow Drought Index for the monitoring of hydrological droughts. It considers six CMIP6 (Sixth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) Global Climate Models, with the CNRM-HR-1 model chosen as the preferred model. Two future Shared Socio-economic Pathway scenarios, SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, were selected to project future climatic conditions. The Random Forest algorithm was utilized to predict future streamflow in the two selected sub-basins. The hydrological drought assessment reveals the heightened vulnerability of the Padiyathalawa sub-basin in the Maduru Oya basin, with a notable rise in moderate hydrological drought occurrences under both future scenarios. Conversely, the Wellawaya sub-basin in the Kirindi Oya basin exhibits susceptibility to frequent moderate hydrological droughts, along with an 80% increase in severe drought occurrences under the SSP5-8.5. Consequently, both basins are projected to face water scarcity in the future. This underscores the importance of implementing measures to ensure a reliable water supply, given the substantial impact of climate change on watershed hydrology.

Effectiveness of wetlands as reservoirs for integrated water resource management in the Ruzizi plain based on water evaluation and planning (WEAP) approach for a climate-resilient future in eastern D.R. Congo

Abstract

It is widely predicted that climate change’s adverse effects will intensify in the future, and along with inadequate agricultural practices, settlement development, and other anthropic activities, could contribute to rapid wetland degradation and thus exert significant negative effects on local communities. This study sought to develop an approach based on the Integrated Water Resource Management (IWRM) in the Ruzizi Plain, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), where adverse effects of the climate change are increasingly recurrent. Initially, we analyzed the trends of climate data for the last three decades (1990–2022). Subsequently, the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) approach was employed on two contrasting watersheds to estimate current and future water demands in the region and how local wetlands could serve as reservoirs to meeting water demands. Results indicate that the Ruzizi Plain is facing escalating water challenges owing to climate change, rapid population growth, and evolving land-use patterns. These factors are expected to affect water quality and quantity, and thus, increase pressure on wetland ecosystems. The analysis of past data shows recurrence of dry years (SPI ≤  − 1.5), reduced daily low-intensity rainfall (Pmm < 10 mm), and a significant increase in extreme rainfall events (Pmm ≥ 25 mm). The WEAP outcomes revealed significant variations in future water availability, demand, and potential stressors across watersheds. Cropland and livestock are the main water consumers in rural wetlands, while households, cropland (at a lesser extent), and other urban uses exert significant water demands on wetlands located in urban environments. Of three test scenarios, the one presenting wetlands as water reservoirs seemed promising than those considered optimal (based on policies regulating water use) and rational (stationary inputs but with a decrease in daily allocation). These findings highlight the impact of climate change in the Ruzizi plain, emphasizing the urgency of implementing adaptive measures. This study advocates for the necessity of the IWRM approach to enhance water resilience, fostering sustainable development and wetland preservation under changing climate.

Heavy rainfalls in Poland and their hyetographs

Abstract

In the light of observed variability in precipitation patterns, there is a growing need for comprehensive data mining of regularly updated rainfall recording databases. Therefore, an analysis of heavy rainfall and hyetographs was conducted using a 30-year high-resolution dataset from 100 rain gauges across Poland, covering 31 646 rainfall events. Distributions of rainfall depths, durations, and intensities were explored, and maxima were compared to global records. Spatial analysis revealed significant variations in the frequency, depths, and durations of extreme rainfall across different regions. Cluster analysis determined model hyetographs for each station. The likelihood of regions belonging to clusters with three to five model hyetographs was assessed using Indicator Kriging. Findings underscore the importance of using local, characteristics rainfalls in hydrodynamic modelling of drainage systems and future rainfall scenarios. These results provide a foundational step towards understanding and monitoring the impacts of climate change on rainfall characteristics, especially extremes, in future decades.

Values in British higher education: knowledge, freedom and wellbeing

Abstract

British higher education is ranked among the best in the world, but some of its core values are under strain. Knowledge and critical thinking can be undermined by biased mind-sets, especially when engaging with the social media. Research demonstrates that false news goes viral much more quickly than true news. Political correctness and the woke movement can militate against freedom, especially in gender-related matters. Surveys show that many staff and students have a lower sense of wellbeing than the rest of the population. Conscious of these problems, the Government has responded with an Act to place extensive new obligations on certain types of online service providers, requiring them to protect their users by managing risks relating to illegal and harmful content. A separate Act has also been passed to protect freedom of speech in universities. The issue of staff and student unhappiness is much less amenable to legislation because it is so multi-faceted. However, it is a very important issue for a healthy, democratic society that fosters cooperation, trust and community. It needs to be addressed.

A qualitative exploration of disseminating research findings among public health researchers in China

Abstract

Background

Research dissemination is essential to accelerate the translating of evidence into practice. Little is known about dissemination among Chinese public health researchers. This study aimed to explore the understanding and practices of disseminating research findings and to identify barriers and facilitators that influence dissemination activities to non-research audiences.

Methods

This study deployed an exploratory qualitative design with purposive and snowball sampling. One focus group with 5 participants and 12 in-depth interviews were conducted with participants working in diverse fields from universities (n = 10), the National Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (n = 4), the Chinese National Cancer Center (n = 1), the Chinese National Center for Cardiovascular Disease (n = 1), and China office of a global research institute (n = 1) from May to December 2021 to reach saturation. Data were initially analyzed using inductive thematic analysis. The designing for dissemination (D4D) logic model was then used to organize themes and subthemes. Two coders independently coded all transcripts and discussed disparities to reach a consensus.

Results

Out of 17 participants, 12 misunderstood the concept of dissemination; 14 had disseminated to non-research audiences: 10 to the public, 10 to practitioners, and 9 to policymakers. We identified multiple barriers to dissemination to non-research audiences across four phases of the D4D logic model, including low priority of dissemination, limited application of D4D strategies, insufficient support from the research organizations, practice settings, and health systems, and overemphasis on academic publications.

Conclusions

There was a lack of understanding and experience of dissemination, indicating a lack of emphasis on active dissemination in China. We provide implications for raising awareness, building capacity, facilitating multidisciplinary collaboration, providing incentives and infrastructure, changing climate and culture, establishing communication and executive networks, and accelerating systematic shifts in impact focus.