Populist politicians’ rhetoric in ‘Private’ communication: Evidence from a citizens’ enquiry experiment in Germany

Abstract

In an audit experiment including all German Bundestag and Länder parliamentarians, the article presents an analysis of the question how political communication differs between parties when being addressed ‘privately’ in line or in opposition to their positioning in core issues such as climate change, migration, or the labour market. A content analysis reveals that the populist radical right and left create differing negative narratives about the actual economic situation. While the radical right AfD focuses on blaming government policies with drastic metaphors and insinuating malign ambitions of political elites, the radical left Die Linke criticises the economic elite to profit from economic crises as well as the political elite to play down economic distress. Differences in blame attribution can also be identified in the way both parties criticise official statistics: The AfD accuses the political elites of deliberately manipulating these figures while Die Linke brings forward a more constructive criticism. A quantitative analysis shows that the answers’ tonality as well as the effort put into writing a response does not mirror the parties’ issue positionings. Parliamentarians do not generally take the chance to exploit misinformation that match their positioning in a core issue. Contrary, it is shown that negative tonality and the spread of uncertainty is generally attributed to political communication at the political fringes.

Disaster response and sustainable transitions in agrifood systems

Abstract

Agrifood scholars have long called for changes to the dominant food system, with the goal of making food systems more sustainable and just. This paper focuses on the ways in which recent and future food system shocks provide an opportunity for sustainable transitions in the food system. However, this requires strategic engagement on the part of alternative agrifood initiatives—agrifood niches—otherwise food systems are likely to return to business as usual. Drawing on the multi-level perspective (MLP) within the sustainability transitions framework, core themes that emerge from social science studies of disasters in agrifood systems are identified. These are summarized as resources, polices, and practices that can assist niches in transforming agrifood regimes in response to disasters. The results highlight that while niches are generally independent of governments, niches would be better positioned to engage in post disaster agrifood change if they have some pre-existing connections with local or regional governments.

(MIS)Perceptions of populism: do populists and anti-populists know what populism is?

Abstract

While populism has recently garnered much scholarly attention and media scrutiny, we know little about what citizens think of this phenomenon. We conducted surveys in Canada, the United States, France, and Italy to probe how citizens perceive populism and whether they self-identify as populists or anti-populists. Surprisingly, many respondents do not comprehend the term, equating populism with “being popular” or the “population.” Only a small proportion put forth definitions of populism advanced by academics and associate the term with people-centrism or anti-elitism. The ideational approach and populism’s “thin-centered” nature is lost on the average citizen. Both supporters and critics of populism frequently link it to charismatic leaders, suggesting that defining populism with a focus on leadership resonates more with the public’s perception. Those that self-identify as populists typically equate it with community, democracy, equality, hope, leadership, and giving a voice to the people. However, anti-populists are more critical, likening populism to demagoguery and extremism, and describing populist supporters in derisive terms.

“Why Does Color Have to Matter?”: Color-Blind Racism and Political Polarization Among Jewish Americans

Abstract

There is an appreciable divergence in views on racism among Jewish Americans based on their political affiliations, with Jewish Democrats being almost four times as likely as Jewish Republicans to perceive substantial discrimination against Black people. Through qualitative interviews with 30 Jewish adults across the political spectrum in the Philadelphia area, we analyze narratives surrounding George Floyd’s murder, the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement, and the ensuing 2020 racial justice protests. The findings reveal pronounced polarization: Politically conservative Jews, predominantly Orthodox, largely opposed the BLM movement, often employing “color-blind racism” to justify their stance. In contrast, politically liberal Jews supported the BLM movement, emphasizing its importance in addressing racial injustice. This study contributes to the literature on Black–Jewish relations by providing insights into the complex relationship between American Jews and race, highlighting the impact of both religious and political polarization within the Jewish community on matters of racial justice.

Projected changes of runoff in the Upper Yellow River Basin under shared socioeconomic pathways

Abstract

Climate change has significantly impacted the1 water resources and conservation area of the Yellow River basin. The Upper Yellow River basin (UYR), referring to the area above Lanzhou station on the Yellow River is the focus of this study, the runoff changes in the UYR would greatly impact the water resources in China. Most existing studies rely on a single hydrological model (HM) to evaluate runoff changes instead of multiple models and criteria. In terms of the UYR, outputs of the previous Coupled Model International Comparison Project (CMIP) are used as drivers of HMs. In this study, the weighted results of three HMs were evaluated using multiple criteria to investigate the projected changes in discharge in the UYR using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from CMIP6. The research’s key findings include the following. 1) Annual discharge in the UYR is expected to increase by 15.2%–64.4% at the end of the 21st century under the 7 SSPs. In the long-term (2081–2100), the summer and autumn discharge will increase by 18.9%–56.6% and 11.8%–70%, respectively. 2) The risk of flooding in the UYR is likely to increase in the three future periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2081–2100) under all 7 SSPs. Furthermore, the drought risk will decrease under most scenarios in all three future periods. The verified HMs and the latest SSPs are applied in this study to provide basin-scale climate impact projections for the UYR to support water resource management.

The role of electric grid research in addressing climate change

Abstract

Addressing the urgency of climate change necessitates a coordinated and inclusive effort from all relevant stakeholders. Critical to this effort is the modelling, analysis, control and integration of technological innovations within the electric energy system, which plays a major role in scaling up climate change solutions. This Perspective presents a set of research challenges and opportunities in the area of electric power systems that would be crucial in accelerating gigaton-level decarbonization. Furthermore, it highlights institutional challenges associated with developing market mechanisms and regulatory architectures, ensuring that incentives are aligned for stakeholders to effectively implement the technological solutions on a large scale.

Higher-order internal modes of variability imprinted in year-to-year California streamflow changes

Abstract

Climate internal variability plays a crucial role in the hydroclimate system, and this study quantifies its predictability on streamflow in California using historical observations, climate simulations, and various machine learning (ML) models. Here we demonstrate that while 5% of the year-to-year variability in seasonal peak streamflow can be attributed to the well-known climate variability indices, the explained variance surpasses 30% when higher-order empirical orthogonal functions of these indices are retained in the analysis. Notably, the results highlight the significant influence of the 5th empirical mode of the Pacific North American pattern and of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in shaping the streamflow variability, which is consistent across all the tested ML models. A deeper investigation reveals a clear and monotonic quasi-linear response of streamflow to these dominant patterns, emphasizing the substantial role played by higher-order internal modes of variability in shaping regional hydroclimate systems, which contributes to bridging the gap between the well-known variability domains and local climate systems.

Taiwan democracy and the conceptualization of ideological security in Tsai administration’s discourse

Abstract

Utilizing the theoretical lens of securitization and the Taiwan Democracy Ideology Securitisation conceptual framework (the TDIS), this article explains how the Tsai administration (Republic of China) transforms Taiwan democracy into the issue of security by conceptualizing Taiwan’s ideological security. In this study, I employ Tsai’s administration’s governmental discourses concerning the issues of democracy and national security to understand how political language and words support an interpretation of the social realities in which Taiwan democracy could be treated as a national security object.

The findings show that the Tsai administration conceptualized ‘ideological security’ to bring the issue of democracy security to the public. The conceptualization was handled in three main ways: forming Taiwan democracy as a dominant political ideology; spiritualizing Taiwan democracy as a political asset and revolutionarily ‘hard-earned’ achievement; and shaping Taiwan’s ideological security. Furthermore, the paper quantitatively demonstrated that the majority of the Taiwanese public agreed with the government’s transforming Taiwan democracy into ideological security.

Integrating effects of overheating on human health into buildings’ life cycle assessment

Abstract

Purpose

Due to climate change, the severity and length of heat waves are increasing, and this trend is likely to continue while mitigation efforts are insufficient. These climatic events cause overheating inside buildings, which increases mortality. Adaptation measures reduce overheating but induce environmental impacts, including on human health. This study aims to integrate the overheating-related effects on human health in building LCA to provide a design aid combining mitigation and adaptation.

Methods

In a novel approach, an existing building LCA tool is utilised to evaluate life cycle impacts, including damage to human health expressed in DALYs. The overheating risk is then evaluated using an existing dynamic thermal simulation (DTS) tool and prospective climatic data. Overheating is expressed as a degree-hour (DH) indicator, which integrates both the severity (temperature degrees over a comfort threshold) and the duration (hours). By assuming proportionality between DALYs and DH × area in a first step, the 2003 heat wave mortality data, 2003 climatic data, and a simplified model of the national residential building stock were used to identify a characterisation factor, which can then be used to evaluate DALYs corresponding to any building using DH obtained by thermal simulation.

Results

The proposed overheating model not only allows to derive a characterisation factor for overheating to be used in building LCA but also provides practical insights. The first estimation of the characterisation factor is 1.35E-8DALY. DH-1.m-2. The method was tested in a case study corresponding to a social housing apartment building in France built in 1969 without insulation. The thickness of insulation implemented in the renovation works was varied. For this specific case study, the contribution of overheating is significant, ranging from 1.1E-5DALY.m-2.y-1 to 2.2E-5DALY.m-2.y-1, comparable to the contribution of heating. DTS and LCA results found an optimal thickness, minimising the human health indicator in DALYs. This underscores the potential of active cooling to reduce human health impacts, especially if it consumes electricity produced by a photovoltaic system integrated in the building.

Conclusion

Combining DTS and LCA makes it possible to evaluate damage indicators on human health, including building life cycles (e.g., material and energy) and overheating-related impacts. An application on a case study shows this method’s feasibility and gives a first order of magnitude of overheating health impacts induced by buildings. A more sophisticated model could replace the assumed proportionality between DALYs and DH.