My circuitous but fortuitous path to paleolimnology

Abstract

I was thrilled to receive a Lifetime Achievement Medal at the 15th International Paleolimnology Symposium (IPS) in Bariloche, Argentina (2022). I will use this opportunity to tell the story of how I stumbled into the field of paleolimnology, a discipline I had not heard of until I entered graduate school. In retrospect, I feel extremely lucky to have been able to spend the last five decades addressing interesting paleoclimate/paleoenvironment questions. Furthermore, my research and teaching have taken me to many biologically fascinating and culturally intriguing places around the world. I will also use this forum to express my gratitude to the many mentors, colleagues, students, friends, and acquaintances with whom I have collaborated throughout my career. Whatever success I have enjoyed, I attribute to my good fortune in having been able to work with numerous talented and hard-working fellow scientists.

Development and validation of a clinical and ultrasound features-based nomogram for preoperative differentiation of renal urothelial carcinoma and central renal cell carcinoma

Abstract

Purpose

This study aimed to develop and validate an ultrasound (US)-based nomogram for the preoperative differentiation of renal urothelial carcinoma (rUC) from central renal cell carcinoma (c-RCC).

Methods

Clinical data and US images of 655 patients with 655 histologically confirmed malignant renal tumors (521 c-RCCs and 134 rUCs) were collected and divided into training (n = 455) and validation (n = 200) cohorts according to examination dates. Conventional US and contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) tumor features were analyzed to determine those that could discriminate rUC from c-RCC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to screen clinical and US features for the differentiation of rUC from c-RCC. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, a diagnostic model of rUC was constructed and visualized as a nomogram. The diagnostic model’s performance was assessed in the training and validation cohorts by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plot. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical usefulness of the US-based nomogram.

Results

Seven features of both clinical features and ultrasound imaging were selected to build the diagnostic model. The nomogram achieved favorable discrimination in the training (AUC = 0.996, 95% CI: 0.993–0.999) and validation (AUC = 0.995, 95% CI: 0.974, 1.000) cohorts, and good calibration (Brier scores: 0.019 and 0.016, respectively). DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the US-based nomogram.

Conclusion

A noninvasive clinical and US-based nomogram combining conventional US and CEUS features possesses good predictive value for differentiating rUC from c-RCC.

Development and validation of a clinical and ultrasound features-based nomogram for preoperative differentiation of renal urothelial carcinoma and central renal cell carcinoma

Abstract

Purpose

This study aimed to develop and validate an ultrasound (US)-based nomogram for the preoperative differentiation of renal urothelial carcinoma (rUC) from central renal cell carcinoma (c-RCC).

Methods

Clinical data and US images of 655 patients with 655 histologically confirmed malignant renal tumors (521 c-RCCs and 134 rUCs) were collected and divided into training (n = 455) and validation (n = 200) cohorts according to examination dates. Conventional US and contrast-enhanced US (CEUS) tumor features were analyzed to determine those that could discriminate rUC from c-RCC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to screen clinical and US features for the differentiation of rUC from c-RCC. Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, a diagnostic model of rUC was constructed and visualized as a nomogram. The diagnostic model’s performance was assessed in the training and validation cohorts by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plot. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical usefulness of the US-based nomogram.

Results

Seven features of both clinical features and ultrasound imaging were selected to build the diagnostic model. The nomogram achieved favorable discrimination in the training (AUC = 0.996, 95% CI: 0.993–0.999) and validation (AUC = 0.995, 95% CI: 0.974, 1.000) cohorts, and good calibration (Brier scores: 0.019 and 0.016, respectively). DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the US-based nomogram.

Conclusion

A noninvasive clinical and US-based nomogram combining conventional US and CEUS features possesses good predictive value for differentiating rUC from c-RCC.

Debris flow susceptibility and hazard assessment in Fushun based on hydrological response units

Abstract

Fushun, located in Northeast China, is prone to debris flow disasters due to its complex topographical and geological conditions. In 2013, large-scale debris flow disasters triggered by a rainstorm broke out, causing hundreds of casualties and serious economic losses. Therefore, it is significant to evaluate the susceptibility and hazard of debris flows in Fushun. Instead of adopting grid units, this research adopts the hydrological response units as the evaluation units and conducts debris flow susceptibility assessment for Fushun area with analytical hierarchical process. By combining the susceptibility with two different precipitation data, hazard assessment is further conducted. Comparison between the two hazard maps is conducted to explore the influence of precipitation on debris flow hazard assessment. Under different precipitation conditions, the debris flow hazard of the same area changes. Statistics on the accuracy of the susceptibility and hazard assessment results is conducted and further compared with the local existing debris flow disaster records, demonstrating that the evaluation results are generally in good consistency with the actual situation in Fushun.

Debris flow susceptibility and hazard assessment in Fushun based on hydrological response units

Abstract

Fushun, located in Northeast China, is prone to debris flow disasters due to its complex topographical and geological conditions. In 2013, large-scale debris flow disasters triggered by a rainstorm broke out, causing hundreds of casualties and serious economic losses. Therefore, it is significant to evaluate the susceptibility and hazard of debris flows in Fushun. Instead of adopting grid units, this research adopts the hydrological response units as the evaluation units and conducts debris flow susceptibility assessment for Fushun area with analytical hierarchical process. By combining the susceptibility with two different precipitation data, hazard assessment is further conducted. Comparison between the two hazard maps is conducted to explore the influence of precipitation on debris flow hazard assessment. Under different precipitation conditions, the debris flow hazard of the same area changes. Statistics on the accuracy of the susceptibility and hazard assessment results is conducted and further compared with the local existing debris flow disaster records, demonstrating that the evaluation results are generally in good consistency with the actual situation in Fushun.

Characterization of flexural fatigue behaviour of additively manufactured (PBF–LB) gyroid structures

Abstract

Additive manufacturing (AM) holds remarkable potential for producing cellular materials with intricate structures and tailored mechanical properties. The study investigates the flexural fatigue behaviour of additively manufactured triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS) gyroid structures using laser powder bed fusion (PBF–LB) technique. The fatigue properties, especially the bending fatigue properties, of additively manufactured cellular structures are not well understood to date. The research aims to enhance understanding of bending fatigue in complex cellular geometries and assess the suitability of rotating bending tests. The PBF–LB process parameters were modified to study their impact on the specimen’s fatigue properties. The modified parameters led to increased surface roughness but significantly improved fatigue behaviour. This enhancement is attributed to a reduction in build defects, namely pores and finer grain size in thin-walled structures. The study also includes analysis of microstructure, hardness, surface roughness, and porosity of the specimens. The results indicate that optimizing process parameters for thin walled cellular structures can lead to substantial improvements in fatigue strength, at the expense of increased surface roughness. This finding offers practical insights for applications in which a rough surface finish may not be critical or even intentionally desired by the application. The research contributes to the understanding of additive manufacturing, cellular structures, and material testing, with potential implications for materials science and engineering applications.

Characterization of flexural fatigue behaviour of additively manufactured (PBF–LB) gyroid structures

Abstract

Additive manufacturing (AM) holds remarkable potential for producing cellular materials with intricate structures and tailored mechanical properties. The study investigates the flexural fatigue behaviour of additively manufactured triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS) gyroid structures using laser powder bed fusion (PBF–LB) technique. The fatigue properties, especially the bending fatigue properties, of additively manufactured cellular structures are not well understood to date. The research aims to enhance understanding of bending fatigue in complex cellular geometries and assess the suitability of rotating bending tests. The PBF–LB process parameters were modified to study their impact on the specimen’s fatigue properties. The modified parameters led to increased surface roughness but significantly improved fatigue behaviour. This enhancement is attributed to a reduction in build defects, namely pores and finer grain size in thin-walled structures. The study also includes analysis of microstructure, hardness, surface roughness, and porosity of the specimens. The results indicate that optimizing process parameters for thin walled cellular structures can lead to substantial improvements in fatigue strength, at the expense of increased surface roughness. This finding offers practical insights for applications in which a rough surface finish may not be critical or even intentionally desired by the application. The research contributes to the understanding of additive manufacturing, cellular structures, and material testing, with potential implications for materials science and engineering applications.

Hypocenter uncertainty analysis of induced and tectonic earthquakes in the Netherlands

Abstract

Induced earthquakes tend to be shallow, while tectonic events often occur in deeper parts of the Earth. A well-estimated hypocenter with uncertainties may help to evaluate whether an event is of an induced or tectonic origin. In this study, we focus on the development of a hypocenter method that helps to better define the source location of an earthquake and reduce the spatial error of the measurement. The hypocenter and the uncertainty is obtained by using the P- and S-wave phase time difference for a station and the P-wave traveltime differences between pairs of stations simultaneously in the hypocenter analysis. The uncertainty inherent to an imperfect reference velocity model, modelling, instrumental inaccuracy and phase time picking is propagated into the spacial hypocenter solution. A refined hypocenter methodology is successfully tested in a synthetic experiment with shallow ( \(\sim \) 5 km), intermediate ( \(\sim \) 10 km) and deep source points ( \(\sim \) 15 km). The synthetic experiment indeed shows that it is possible to separate earthquakes by their depth solution, hence offering an indication that the event is either induced or tectonic. Case studies are presented of estimations of hypocenters and error ellipses for (1) induced seismicity at sites for gas storage in salt domes, geothermal production and gas extraction as well as (2) tectonic events.

Hypocenter uncertainty analysis of induced and tectonic earthquakes in the Netherlands

Abstract

Induced earthquakes tend to be shallow, while tectonic events often occur in deeper parts of the Earth. A well-estimated hypocenter with uncertainties may help to evaluate whether an event is of an induced or tectonic origin. In this study, we focus on the development of a hypocenter method that helps to better define the source location of an earthquake and reduce the spatial error of the measurement. The hypocenter and the uncertainty is obtained by using the P- and S-wave phase time difference for a station and the P-wave traveltime differences between pairs of stations simultaneously in the hypocenter analysis. The uncertainty inherent to an imperfect reference velocity model, modelling, instrumental inaccuracy and phase time picking is propagated into the spacial hypocenter solution. A refined hypocenter methodology is successfully tested in a synthetic experiment with shallow ( \(\sim \) 5 km), intermediate ( \(\sim \) 10 km) and deep source points ( \(\sim \) 15 km). The synthetic experiment indeed shows that it is possible to separate earthquakes by their depth solution, hence offering an indication that the event is either induced or tectonic. Case studies are presented of estimations of hypocenters and error ellipses for (1) induced seismicity at sites for gas storage in salt domes, geothermal production and gas extraction as well as (2) tectonic events.

Perioperative echocardiographic strain analysis: what anesthesiologists should know

Abstract

Purpose

Echocardiographic strain analysis by speckle tracking allows assessment of myocardial deformation during the cardiac cycle. Its clinical applications have significantly expanded over the last two decades as a sensitive marker of myocardial dysfunction with important diagnostic and prognostic values. Strain analysis has the potential to become a routine part of the perioperative echocardiographic examination for most anesthesiologist-echocardiographers but its exact role in the perioperative setting is still being defined.

Clinical features

This clinical report reviews the principles underlying strain analysis and describes its main clinical uses pertinent to the field of anesthesiology and perioperative medicine. Strain for assessment of left and right ventricular function as well as atrial strain is described. We also discuss the potential role of strain to aid in perioperative risk stratification, surgical patient selection in cardiac surgery, and guidance of anesthetic monitor choice and clinical decision-making in the perioperative period.

Conclusion

Echocardiographic strain analysis is a powerful tool that allows seeing what conventional 2D imaging sometimes fails to reveal. It often provides pathophysiologic insight into various cardiac diseases at an early stage. Strain analysis is readily feasible and reproducible thanks to the use of highly automated software platforms. This technique shows promising potential to become a valuable tool in the arsenal of the anesthesiologist-echocardiographer and aid in perioperative risk-stratification and clinical decision-making.